In the previous post, I
discussed “efficiency” without defining it. Economists have a very strict
definition of this important term: if a state of the world can make some better
off, without hurting anyone, that state of the world is more “efficient.” On
the other hand, a new state of the world, that increases the overall size of
the pie but makes some better off and others worse off is not “efficient” by
this definition. One reason why economists use the stricter definition of
efficiency is that under diminishing marginal utility, overall social welfare
may not necessarily increase in the second case. However, in the first case,
social welfare is always higher.
Economists have spent
considerable time arguing that international trade is efficient. (As a caveat,
Stiglitz and others have demonstrated instances where international
trade can be inefficient but
that is a discussion for another day). So in theory that means international
trade makes some people better off and no one worse off. But at the same time,
economists acknowledge that international trade leads to “winners” and
“losers.” But there are no “losers” in a more efficient state of the world. How
to square this circle? Economists argue that there can be a transfer of monies
from the “winners” to the “losers” such that the “winners” are still better off
and the “losers” are no worse off than before. Hence, as the example of
international trade shows, efficiency and redistribution are not mutually
exclusive. In fact, redistribution is absolutely necessary for international
trade to be efficient!
Economists who believe in
the efficiency of international trade (including myself) should also believe in
increasing re-distribution from the “winners” to the “losers”. However, the tax
code in the US has become increasingly regressive at the same time that
globalization has increased dramatically. This is not efficient by economists
own definition of efficiency. (Side note: are there situations under the theory
of second best where increasingly regressive taxes contemporaneous with
international trade can be efficient?).
In order to make
international trade efficient, we need to better understand the “winners” and
“losers.” The recent trade literature has luckily ignored Lucas’s advice and
spent considerable effort trying to understand who is hurt from international
trade. Hopefully this research will move us towards making international trade
more efficient, but in the meantime, I am curious why economists have been
silent as the US tax code has become more regressive over the years while
loudly touting more free trade.
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